Balance of Power Geopolitics isn’t as much of a term as it is a process. The simplest evaluation of balance of power geopolitics is the basis that two or more countries or otherwise powers are roughly even in economic, military, and etc prowess. What is very often overlooked, balance of power geopolitics is as much about trade and positioning as it is roughly even economics, military, and etc prowess. Why does this matter? If the US continues to ignore balance of power geopolitics along with the other Western Nations, the path trend ends in war.
Now, I’m fully aware that many people including experts consider such a war is impossible between the US Economic-Military might, and the US won the Cold War and thus likely to win the abstract next one; this ignores three very simple issues:
1). Russia and China have repeatedly assessed the Fall of the Soviet Union was dependent on the fact the Soviets failed to directly engage or confront the US and NATO. Furthermore, they determined the nation possessing the world’s reserve currency status possesses the advantage of time.
Now take a close look at Russo-Sino’s actions since 2009:
-Russo-Sino began dropping the US Dollar in denominated trade that now extends to the BRICS to date and even required the US to join the Eastern ‘IMF’ system.
-Russia and China have added military components to trade pacts made in both Africa and South America, and Russia repudiated Cuban Cold War Soviet debts for access to Cuban installations and trade. China had a pact with Venezuela according to foreign outlets to install tactical warheads in the nation prior to the present economic crisis in Venezuela.
-Russo-Sino have pledged their support to Eastern Ukraine, Assad’s Syria, Iran, Pakistan, North Korea, and China is moving to buffer itself with militarized island building in both the East China Sea and South China Sea largely covered in Western Media for the resource component while ignoring China’s military development is geared towards expecting war with the United States and the West.
It doesn’t look good does it? It most certainly doesn’t.
For those, who don’t think so the often omitted component of balance of power geopolitics is that buffer zones, which are regions or countries sitting between rival nations, are very often when violated treated as an violent incursion against the rival nation itself. Now take a good long look at a map, Eastern Ukraine, Syria, Iran, Pakistan, North Korea, East China Sea, and South China Sea factor in the NATO included Baltic States, and you’d note each of these regions sit without striking distance of Russia and China as well as Russian and Chinese national interests. For example, when Bin Laden was killed in Pakistan, the Neo-Cons wanted to regime change Pakistan’s regime, and China’s response was quite simply an attack on Pakistan will be viewed as an attack on China. This is precisely the same stance China has taken with North Korea since the Korean War, and China was vastly underdeveloped to the US then and fought the US to a stalemate ending in a truce making the Korean War one of the longest running wars in modern memory. It’s quite simply a fact most tension with Russia and China along with BRICS as a Bloc rests in US Foreign Policy that is largely encouraged by OPEC nations as Saudi Arabia and the Arabian Alliance. If China ever convinces Saudi Arabia to drop the US Dollar in denominated trade, the US Dollar effectively unofficially loses its world’s reserve currency status in short order.
The threat to the US Dollar losing its world’s reserve currency status is a major one. One of the old adages is when in doubt follow the money or who benefits if you look into old school measurements of economic health does over 80% of GDP not suffice as justification of US Foreign Policy? Bare in mind, GDP is presently over $16.16 trillion Dollars, and old school measurements place that as over 80% dependent on the US Dollar being the world’s reserve currency status. Is it any wonder US Policy blurs US national security with national interests? It shouldn’t that’s a lot of money propping up the catalyst of wealth effect and wealth redistribution of public-private partnerships.